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3/24/03:
There
Must Be Easier Ways to Make a Living
Dear Mark,
The other day I played keno with my best 20 lucky numbers. The
special bonus was to hit all twenty numbers and win $30,000, or
not catch one number and win close to $400. Well, my numbers were
lucky in the fact that none hit. I want to know what the odds
are of picking no numbers and of picking 20. The keno runner was
very suprised and called over several people to make sure. My
husband said that they must of called the owner at home cause
this is such a rare event. Lacy S.
Headlines
from the Home Office: "The chutzpa of your favorite casino
calling it a "Special Bonus" ticket." Let¹s
get right to the rithmetic, Lacy, compliments of "Blackjack,"
who is all knowing in everything earthly and terrestrial. I mention
terrestrial here because Blackjack once worked at Area 51, or
so I believe he did. He claims he won his lifestyle on the lake
at craps, but I¹m not sure. Blackjack says that the chances
of hitting twenty out of twenty in keno are 3.5353e+018. By just
moving the decimal point 18 spaces to the right, you get 3,535,300,000,000,000,000
or a bit over 3 1/2 quintillion to one. Now some arithmetic wizard
thinkin that he can one-up Blackjack (I doubt any exist) by pointing
out that the number appears to be one of those made up of an endlessly
repeating sequence, and that therefore the final 3 would be followed
by a 5, and should therefore be upped to 4, write it this way:
3,535,400,000,000,000,000. But why stop there? If the number is
one of those endlessly repeating sequences, Blackjack says you
can write it: 3,535,353,535,353,535,353. Let¹s play! Putting
down one bean every three seconds for an eight-hour working day,
with a half hour off for lunch and two 15-minute personal breaks,
staying at it full-time, i.e. 50 weeks per year, how long would
it take you, Lacy, to play 3,535,353,535,353,535,353 games? A
trifle over over 34 trillion years. How long is the earth expected
to remain habitable before the sun goes nova? Three to five billion
years. So if you, Lacy, a gentically engineered wonder and longevity
ran in your clan (The Lost Horizon), could arrange to take your
keno game along and continue play in roughly fourteen thousand
different solar systems, as they sequentially come into being,
evolve like ours, and go BOOM!, you could complete game number:
3,535,353,535,353,535,353.
That¹s a tough assignment, however. Assuming could keep on
playing while moving from one solar system to another, as one
after the other of them used up their life expectancy of 10-15
billion years, and if you didn¹t tire of the sport prematurely,
you would finish just about when our Milky Way super-galaxy begins
to run low on expendable minor galaxies. Good luck, Lacy! Meanwhile,
read the fine print on this bottle of Scotch.
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Time
Used
1 minute
1 hour
1 day
1 week
1 year
10 years
100 years
1000 years
1 million years
1 billion years
1 trillion years
34 years
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Games
Played
1
60
420
2100
105,000
1,050,000
10,500,000
105,000,000
105,000,000,000
105,000,000,000,000
105,000,000,000,000,000
3,535,353,535,353,535,353
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Oh yeah,
Lacy, the odds-to-1 against hitting no numbers out of 20 are 842.38.
Not too out of the ordinary, but when the house is only paying
you about $400 clams, probably not worth playing either.
Gambling
quote of the week: " We would now like to acknowledge
our American friends who account for about 80 per cent of the
casinos¹ attendance. By emptying your pockets, you¹ve
helped pay down our debt and ease our taxes. We call that mighty
neighborly." The Windsor Star (Canada)
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Who Is Mark Pilarski?
Mark Pilarski has 14 years experience managing in various casinos. He now writes
a nationally syndicated column, is a university lecturer, author, reviewer and
contributing editor for numerous gaming periodicals, and is the creator of the
best-selling, award-winning audiocassette series on casino gambling, Hooked on Winning.
Have a question? He will be sure to answer it with inside tricks to ensure
you increase your winnings. Ask Mark now at: pilarski@markpilarski.com.
The Mark Pilarski Archive Collection:
Dealers Progressive Betting and Texas Wipe Out
Dealers Do Bust, Really! ...With A Little Help From You
Buy, Lay, Place... What's A Player To Do?
Slots and Pots Revisited
Video Poker Is More Skill Than Luck
Bruisin' The Old Billfold
There Must Be Easier Ways to Make a Living
Midstream Switch?
Reader Takes This Writer To Task
The Casino Advantage, And Then There Is The Graveyard Advantage
Iacta Alea Est!
The Odds Way of Staying Even
Guy Wnows What He's Talking About!
Bucking The Odds
Hell's Kitchen
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